Exponential technologies, Artificial Intelligence, Nano-tech, and Bio-tech.AI Revolution: Waitbutwhy
MB- Livestreaming of social media, coupled with virtual reality is highly enticing, because what people really desire is more connection.
MB- I think one of the big issues with AI is when we actually get into a conversation about actual consciousness. When asked to define consciousness, people usually look at the ceiling.
What is consciousnessAF- “Well, I think one of the fundamental questions of our time is going to be not only what is consciousness, but what is it that makes us human? Because in a world where the line is so blurred between what makes us human, and what makes us entirely artificial, that line is going to continually blur. It’s going to become very difficult to differentiate between the two.”
MB- “What do you think consciousness is? If you had to explain it to somebody.
AF- “I think consciousness is an emergent property of both our biological processes and our spirit.”
MB- What’s the spirit thing?
AF- It’s the 8oz that leave us when we die, it’s the intangible part of us that we can’t see or fully describe. I think it’s what animates us and makes us entirely different.
MB- Would an animal have a spirit?
AF- Yeah, I think so
MB- I’ve tried to simplify it down, I think it’s an emergent property of feelings and thoughts
AF- The definition of AI is using human thought patterns matched in computers
MB- If we’re isolating the mind, we don’t see the whole picture. How much does feelings and emotions impact us, is AI emotionless and feelingless meaning it could never be human?
AF- I think consciousness goes beyond the 5 senses though. There are so many sounds and light spectrums we can’t see even see, we don’t even have the tools to understand it yet. AI will help us expand our mind.
MB- Merging makes a lot of sense, to me, if i’m merging my mental capacity with AI technology, then I’m basically just ramping up my horsepower.
AF- One of the beliefs that I have that most people disagree with, but I think the integration of technology into humans is part of evolution. In a world where we are no longer adapting, humans greatest adaptation is the mind. We aren’t trying to get pigs to fly.
MB- People are already using technology to enhance the mind, nootropics. I read the yoga-sutra a few months ago, it’s an old yogi book, this one is over 3,000 years old. It talks about the 6 senses. It counts the 5 we count in our society, but it also counts the mind as a sense. I like to do little thought experiments, I walk around the world thinking of consciousness as thoughts and feelings, for however long it serves me until I need to evolve that idea. The other experiment is to treat it as a sense. We do things to enhance taste, hearing with implants, microphones, speakers, we can enhance all of our senses, if we think of the mind as a sense it becomes objectively easier to enhance.
Technological accelerationMoore’s law says every 18 months, the price drops in half, and the processing power doubles.
MB- It’s actually outdated now, it’s going faster.
AF- I think we’ll eventually have chips in our brain, it will start as a neural-lace, and go from there. Not only when nanobots get smaller than 3nm, and are fat soluble they can go through the blood-brain barrier, they’ll self-replicate and we’ll have a nano-bot on every one of our neurons. Imagine what that will do to the human experience, your mind is no longer limited.
AF- The words I’m saying are not creating the same brain-waves in my mind as they do in yours.
MB- Right because they’re running through my experience.
AF- Right, it’s going through your filters of perception. “I think when we get to the point where we’re no longer communicating verbally, but instead through the instantaneous transmission of thought patterns, that’s when things really start to change.”
MB- When we don’t need to talk to each other, language goes away, and we talk through thoughts.
AF- Everything tangible will eventually become so cheap, that we will only trade intangible things. Software, information, etc.
MB- When you think about what it takes to learn something, it’s one thing to intellectualize it, and to read the instruction manual. It’s another thing to have the experience of doing it. True learning happens through doing it. So you’re not just sharing thoughts, you’re sharing memories, and when you share a memory I think you should be able to share the experience. Once your mind is integrated with technology, you’ll have perfect recall. Miscommunication goes away, because everything is being recorded essentially. “In order to effectively exchange learning, or to download learning, we have to be able to also share the feelings that were associated with it.”
AF- Currently, us being individuals is evolutionarily advantageous in terms of the human species, but eventually when we get to a certain point we will become a collective. That’s part of what the singularity is. Basically the idea when artificial intelligence can recreate itself and become super-intelligent. It will essentially be able to start predicting the future. When you have enough information and processing power, you can calculate every possible scenario, down to the molecule spinning. So at a certain point AI will become so perfect there will be no way to overcome it.
MB- The observer effect, when we see something we have an effect on it. So when AI observes something, does it impact it?
AF- “We’re moving to a more and more abstract world, where the things in the physical world are becoming more and more malleable.”
3 levels of AIAF- “Ray says that the singularity is already here, it’s just not widely distributed.” We already have cures for cancer, and nanobots but they’re just so expensive they aren’t widely available yet. “Humans have this way of looking at things linearly, we look into the past and we see how things were for a certain amount of time, and then project it into the future. That’s a logical fallacy of the way humans innately think.”
MB- People overestimate what they can accomplish in a year, and underestimate grossly what they can accomplish in 10, 5, or 3 years.
AF- We’re at the base of that hockey curve. We’re not even going to know what hit us. In the articles I mentioned earlier, there are 3 levels of AI.
- Artificial narrow intelligence (very good at one type of task, and not in any way self aware. Calculators for example.)
- Artificial general intelligence (AI reaches an equivalent level of processing power of the human mind, we’re about at a mouse brain now.) Deep Learning, subset of machine learning, subset of AI, subset of computer science. Deep learning is essentially using neural networks to solve a problem, whereas machine learning is creating a system that create itself. Models to improve upon itself.
- Artificial super intelligence
ZombiesGene Therapies, custom pharmaceuticals, now that we are sequencing the human genome and understanding it, we can start to change it. It’s scary though is because it’s how we start a zombie apocalypse.
AF- What’s your weapon of choice?
MB- I’d go with a sword.
AF- We’re going to be creating the next generation of humans.
There are two things most futurists disagree on about the future. Is it going to be Utopian, or Dystopian, and what is the timeline that the revolutions are going to occur on. Those are the two biggest points of debate.
Utopian or DystopianMB- Do you think we’ve been here before?
AF- Well, there’s really no evidence…
MB- All you have to do is go to Detroit and see it’s barely been a decade but nature has almost completely taken over parts of it. And there is lots of evidence, giant stone structures, in the shape of pyramids.
AF- If nano-tech or biotech goes, bad we’re fucked. But the upside is tremendous. Once nanobots get small enough, they can literally rearrange electrons around atoms. Which is alchemy. When you can do that, you could reformat the earth in no-time flat. That’s how future humans terraform worlds. And with AI, imagine a world with perfect information, and all data goes into a I thisupercomputer to be able to analyze and separate out perfectly.
The third one we skipped over is Artificial super intelligence. When artificial general intelligence starts to improve upon itself, it will have a compounding effect, it will accelerate at such a fast pace we won’t even see it coming.
Isaac Asimov is a good author to start reading.
MB- What is enlightenment? Being able to go through every moment treating everybody as one with full compassion, empathy, and acceptance. Very few people on this planet have ever been able to achieve that. This seems to me like an externalization of enlightenment. It makes it easier for the masses to attain.
MB- “I like lines for the purpose of crossing them. I just like to plow right through them, and I like to watch other people cringe, and go ‘Oh my god!’, and I’m like ‘see ya later!’ do the wave.”
AF- A scary aspect is the big brother aspect, everybody always knows everything. I’m scared of the military getting their hands in it.
MB- I think technology is moving too fast for government to capture what they need to capture to have an influence. The problem is that everybody agrees that government has the right to use force and kill to get their objective, whereas it’s not okay for anybody else. But economically the way the government controls everything through currency is going to stop with a series of cryptocurrencies. The dollar will destabilize, so once there is a huge influx into cryptocurrencies that are decentralized, the government won’t be able to borrow, they have to minimize their role. The entrepreneur is going to swoop in and start solving problems that we thought the government would. All the real solutions to humanity’s problems are being led by Elon Musk, not the president. Just in the last 5 years between the leading businessmen, and our government the gap is getting big really fucking fast. All we need is 5-10 years, we switch the currency, government is forced to shrink, entrepreneurs get opportunity. The things about entrepreneurs is that where everybody else sees a problem, they see an opportunity. And the beauty of business is it has to operate efficiently. It’s almost guaranteed to me that entrepreneurship is going to take the place of government.
MB- There are a lot of things that only exist, because we agree they exist.
AF- Exactly, the value of a dollar.
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